Thursday, January 10, 2013

The most surprising development of 2013 will be... - Fortune Finance ...

FORTUNE -- Today I asked Term Sheet readers to complete the following sentence: "The most surprising development of 2013 will be..."

Yes, this is a bit of intellectual theft from Josh Brown. Anyway, what follows is a selection of what readers sent back, in no particular order:

Hugh Evans (T. Rowe Price): The realization that 3D printing is bigger than cloud computing.

Ken Maready (Hutchinson PLLC): Twitter will develop its own phone before Facebook, but unfortunately the TwitterPhone will only let you talk for 17 seconds before ending the call."

Keith Gillard (Pangea Ventures): That some cleantech funds will actually put their LPs in the black.

Bob Ackerman (Allegis Capital):?By the end of 2013 cyber attacks will be the greatest external threat to the US economy.

David Lancher (Lancher Communications):?The rapid deployment of credit funds to replace traditional bank lending, particularly?in Europe.

Paul Roales:?The startup/tech press will become like Cosmo, where the headlines on the cover never change, only the date of publication is different.

Bryan Baggenstos (Casey Family Programs): Gas prices at the station drop to near $2 per gallon.

Charlie Spokes (General Catalyst Partners): Notre Dame going to a second straight BCS national championship game.

Samuel Cahn (Combinations Capital Partners): Comprehensive immigration reform. The President will push it to shift attention away from taxes and government debt.

Holly Davidson (James Beck): That Dan becomes a Republican.

Velios Kodomichalos (Pepperdine University Investment Management): We have a balanced budget at federal level.

Robert Gray (DG Advisors): Apple's fall from grace

Keith Buckley (ACS Signal Corp.): The number of people that utter the words, "Wait, MY taxes are going up?? I thought it was just those rich people."

Blake Winchell (Partner Ventures): Greece leaving the EU.

Geoff Rapaport (Cooley LLP): Passage of a bill establishing a national tax on GHG emissions with a portion of the revenue to fund domestic infrastructure spending.

David Simpson (LACERA): The rapid and seamless integration of Venezuela into the LatAm growth story post-Chavez."

Daniel O'Donnell (Dechert): In the U.S. the PE and financial sectors will lag the industrial sector; the latter will perform better than expected producing ~3% growth in gdp; pe will pick up in the second half of the year as the glut of portfolio companies already held past the normal "sell by" date gets pared down into a rising domestic economy.

Brendan Bressan (JP Morgan): The sunset of reduced capital gains tax and qualified dividends rates.

Mark Lubow (423 Digital):?Google receiving a patent on seeing and Apple receiving a patent on thinking.

Michelle Clark: The return of PE to the tech sector, triggering a wave of buying (e.g., Dell and HTC get acquired) that prompts investment banks to jump in and drive divestitures (e.g., HP gets broken up).

Tim Yeaton (Black Duck Software):?The necessity of working with competitors ? collaborating and committing financial and development support to creating vendor-neutral platforms and giving up control to ensure timely innovation.

John Shaw (Maxill):?The US actually defaults on its debt.

Leonid Markel (THL Partners):?A productive political environment.

Karl Schmidtmann: John Boehner and Harry Reid are secretly married in Maryland in a service presided over by Clarence Thomas after a long weekend of long awaited, truly bipartisan support.

Douglas Weeden: Facebook Doubles to $60 on mobile 'animal apirits' and then crashes, ushering in #SiliconDustbowl2.0

Paul Bishop (Preqin): When the 2013/14 NHL season starts smoothly.

Amit Jain (AIG): The soaring US economy supported by strong housing.

Steve Lesem (Mezeo Software): Windows Phone OS will establish itself amongst consumers as a credible third choice versus Apple IOS and Android.

Thomas Bonney (CMF Associates):?Republicans establish a comprehensive message and platform that is progressive/forward thinking.

Werner Pisar (Nokia Siemens):?How easily the banks circumvent the new regulations and drive up their risk.

Chad Seiler (KPMG):?It's resemblance to 2012.

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Source: http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2013/01/09/the-most-surprising-development-of-2013-will-be/

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